Bernd
11/14/2020 (Sat) 14:26:27
No.40985
del
>>40953>turning a lose-lose mess into win-win.Certainly a win for Russia as Armenia will become more dependent. On the other hand Azerbaijan can't be allowed to grow too strong or it'll drift further away, it has already found a powerful alternative to Russia in the form of Turkey.
>What will be with the Armenian majority of the area?They'll leave, like the Azeris had to three decades ago.
https://www.rferl.org/a/mass-exodus-as-armenians-flee-nagorno-karabakh/30945120.html>Russian peacekeepers are setting up "observation points" which pretty much is reminding me of the Turkish ones in Syria.Notably while the world's attention was on Artsakh Erdogan evacuated several of those.
Which makes me wonder about his foreign policy. His internal management has been a disaster but externally he can claim several victories: giving a life extension to the Syrian rebels, saving the western Libyan government and now giving a triumph to his ally Azerbaijan and the promise of a road cutting through Armenia, achieving a pan-Turkic ambition and potentially opening the way to Central Asia. He can project power with an army of Syrian mercenaries and swarms of drones. Yet this came at a cost of accumulating enemies, the entire eastern Mediterranean is against him and there's a lot of resentment against Turkish influence abroad.