Bernd 05/30/2026 (Sat) 17:51 No.55422 del
Last Ukraine war map wankery was on February 1st: >>55060 since then it's all Iran and Trump.
These days the constantly turning vinyl record is Ukraine having the upper hand, on the advance, beating back Russians. As Matt of WillyOAM said today: they claim this without acknowledging that Russia every had the upper hand. And similarly they captured back clay they never acknowledged they lost to the Russians.
What's new is the Ukrainian strategic drone strikes: >>55393 which won't win war, but it seems Russia isn't that successful to intercept them, yet.

I think the reason for the slower pace of Russian advancement is two fold. First it's spring, mud season. Advancements are slower, for fighting is more painful.
Second, they reached an operationally important goal: capturing Pokrovsk-Mirnograd. Now they reorganize, resupply, probably give some of the units some rest. They will start again on new main axes. I assume the main goal is the "liberation" of Donetsk oblast, taking Sloviansk and Kramatorsk.
One solid base could be Pokrovsk-Mirnograd and push towards north from here. Another direction is Kostiantinivka and along the chain of settlements to NW. Third the ex-Siversk front, to move the line up to Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. And ofc there is still Lyman.
All the rest, Sumy, Kharkov, Dnipro, Zap are secondary, supportive, to stretch the AFU. In Kherson nothing happens.
I'm not sure if we'll be able to tell when they start, the whole war is one long offensive since they built things up by 2023 autumn-winter, which sometimes seems more intensive and "faster" paced, then slows down. Will there be another FAB campaign like what our lad Molin mapped before?

Let's just check DeepState.