>>176204, >>176205, >>176206
Using 4 million as a conservative estimate for the net additions during this period, that population would generate an additional 27,400 criminal convictions each year (calculated as 685 convictions per 100,000 × 4,000,000). Assuming each conviction involves just one victim, that translates to 27,400 new victims annually.
Keep in mind that many crimes create more than one victim. For example, a burglary of a home with four residents is typically counted as only one household victimization in standard crime data systems like the National Crime Victimization Survey, not four separate ones. Similarly, the murder of a married mother of three is recorded as one victim (the mother), even though the other four family members suffer profound harm.
Turning to murder specifically, the conviction rate for undocumented immigrants is 2.2 per 100,000, again lower than the native-born rate. Applied to the added 4 million people, that still results in an additional 88 murders per year!
In the end, the sheer scale of the undocumented population matters most: the more people present in the country illegally, the greater the total volume of crime committed and the higher the number of victims created.
This underscores why population size, not just relative rates, is a critical factor in assessing the real-world impact on public safety.
https://x.com/Al_Goodwyn/status/2023458627948876137

Al Goodwyn @Al_Goodwyn - Abigail Spanberger, the moderate candidate for Virginia Governor wins in the recent off-year election, and goes from centrist Democrat to progressive as fast as you can say, “bait and switch.” Even faster than she can say “screw it,…let’s go with more taxes, sanctuary state, energy regulations, and gerrymandering!”
https://x.com/Al_Goodwyn/status/2022707133012181491

Al Goodwyn @Al_Goodwyn - Voter ID to vote, the greatest no-brainer of an election policy, yet Democrats fear those in favor of such a dastardly requirement like they’d fear the kitchen staff at Golden Corral with a pallet of arsenic. What they prefer are pallets of rogue ballots with no questions asked.
When it comes to voting, the sacred act of shaping our democracy, just saunter on in like it's open mic night at a comedy club,... minus the ID check for a beverage.Democrats, instead of requiring photo ID to prove you are the proper owner of a ballot, are more likely to have you prove it via interpretive dance.
https://x.com/Al_Goodwyn/status/2022317970983117190

Al Goodwyn's Political (a)Musings - Cartoon: Voter ID Gaslighting, plus...
https://algoodwyn.substack.com/p/cartoon-voter-id-gaslighting-plus