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Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal - Here’s a clear explanation of why Trump attacked Iran, and why I think the war will end soon.
The war isn't about nuclear weapons. It's not about helping the Iranian people. It’s not about doing Israel’s bidding. And it's not about Iran being a threat to the U.S.
It's about China.
China imports 45-57% of its oil through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has the capacity to shut it down.
A U.S.-aligned Iran means an Iran that would choke off that strait if there's ever a real power struggle between Washington and Beijing.
And there already is one.
The U.S. and China have been locked in a tariff war for over a year now.
Also remember when China threatened export controls on rare earths, encompassing any company anywhere in the world that uses Chinese rare earths?
Yes, China essentially said that any company that uses their rare earths (China refines 85-90% of the world’s supply) must seek their permission before exporting their products.
This means if a German manufacturer uses rare earths fro China to create chips for American companies, China can block the export of these chips.
That’s how much leverage China has over the U.S., and that’s dangerous, especially if China finally decides to reunify with Taiwan.
So controlling the Strait of Hormuz becomes critical for the U.S.
It's the same reason Trump wants China out of the Panama Canal. The same reason Venezuela matters.
The same reason he's eyeing Greenland, where shipping routes to China pass through melting Arctic ice.
Energy is everything now. The AI arms race is the most important strategic competition on the planet.
Limiting China's access to energy is how the U.S. wins that race, and anyone who believes in freedom and democracy should want America to