Anonymous 10/12/2026 (Mon) 13:21 Id: df1501 No.195855 del
>>195822, >>195823, >>195824, >>195825, >>195826, >>195827, >>195828, >>195829, >>195830, >>195831, >>195832, >>195833, >>195834, >>195835, >>195836, >>195837, >>195838, >>195839, >>195840, >>195841, >>195842, >>195843, >>195844, >>195845, >>195846, >>195847, >>195848, >>195849, >>195850, >>195851, >>195852, >>195853, >>195854
DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican - In FL, the general public has only county level aggregates with no individual breakdown. I could reach D+4 by massaging demographic trends at the county level, raw early vote numbers then fudge a few assumptions. And it’d be defensible, but also well within the category of “making up numbers.” D+4 compared to FL 2024 is institutional safety.
https://x.com/DataRepublican/status/2108720970538115207

DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican - How do they know who already voted?
Parent Post:
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende · 21h It's from the L2 voter file.
https://x.com/DataRepublican/status/2108714365822394685

DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican - I agree we should go back to a single voting day. In the meantime, there’s a pretty clear correlation between how transparent a state is about early voting, and how Republican said state leans.
Parent Post:
CaptainTLB60 @CaptainTLB60
My problem is that there’s so much wrong with early voting, I don’t know where to begin with the criticism. If we got rid of mail and ballots and went back to a combination of a.) In-person, election day voting, b.) Absentee ballot for people who can’t be there, and c.) 1-2 days max of early voting, just to recognize the fact that some people who didn’t anticipate an absentee ballot, can’t be there on election day, we would eliminate so many problems. One of the issues with states that have long early voting cycles, is that news events which impact the candidates viability (like debates, for example) happen within that window so that early voters sometimes miss the opportunity to have that data (remember the Hunter Biden laptop story for example?).
https://x.com/DataRepublican/status/2108713652660408626

DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican - Helped with this book a bit!
Quoted Post:

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