Bernd 02/22/2022 (Tue) 04:26:20 No.46534 del
It's getting close to Live maps time for Ukraine as well, maybe they will even need their own thread.

The Russians moved military convoys right up to the border in the east and even into the Chernobyl area, Radiation does not scare Russians it seems. But they do seem to be positioning for a pincer to strike at Kiev which makes sense. I don't hold much hope for the Ukrainians, their equipment is too old particularly in regards to air and anti air, they were given western manpads but I don't know how much that will help. The fighting is practically going to be a textbook Russian excersise, it's exactly what they train for and what they want, large scale artillery barrages and air attacks on Ukrainian positions and then large scale mechanised and armoured manoeuvrers across open terrain and because of the aged Ukrainian assets they might struggle to deal with Russian air attacks on their own mechanised and armoured units which will also be operating in open country. So I think this will depend on how well entrenched the Ukrainians can get and also how much fighting will happen in built up areas, the Russians may struggle in close urban combat, indeed we have seen them struggle with it in the past. But in a war like this Russia may decide to simply cut any build up area off and move on, I don't know that they physically need to take Kiev or any other major city, so long as they can destroy enough of the Ukrainian army to enable them to operate in the countryside freely and occupy the majority of it, they should not need to actually fight for any major cities. Depending on what their objective actually is of course. These are just my thoughts anyway.