>>49121
What you are seeing here are the numbers of Russian casualties as reported by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense which they publish daily on Facebook and other platforms. X-axis is indeed time and y-axis the number of Russian casualties per day. The grey dots are the number on each day and the black line is the 10-day moving average. I have cut off the initial phase of the war. Both because it makes the rest of the graph hard to read and because the numbers are interpolated and unreliable. Funnily enough, the newest daily report is so high (950) that it goes beyond the scale of the graph I'm generally working with. Pic related are the two graphs. Todays report echoes the bloodiest days from the beginning of the conflict.

What we can learn from this graph, I'm not entirely sure. It certainly helps me contextualize the current course of the conflict. Major real developments also coincide with spikes and valleys in the graph, so it's not completely detached from reality.