Historylegends released a new video about the possible spring offensive. tl;dr it won't be easy.
But he mentions some stuff I want to reflect on.
Following militaryland he lists a bunch of new units formed from veteran battalions and regiments, and mentions the chance that they could be empty units, existing on paper as brigades. He supposes that they are probably full sized however, and based on the militaryland map he states they are placed around Bakhmut, in a good position to attack Wagner units. He also puts together the info that the Leopard 2-s (40 of them) are probably kept together and they are at Bakhmut.
Now I did not look up and validate his info, he shows what he found, so just based on that, I think they are indeed units just for the show in the sense that they weren't meant to mount any offensive. They are there to offer relatively mobile forces to make small scale counter-pushes. He even mentions that one unit doing just that at Bakhmut. They are the ones probably who are doing the actions we discussed above with Brbernd starting here: >>50015
I also believe the Leo 2s are there, and they are also for the show. Their supposed prowess and the threat they pose is more of an asset than their actual combat value in an actual battle where these expensive and sophisticated machineries risk destruction. They are hard to replace or even repair, Ukraine 100% lacks the infrastructure for that. They are used way better if they just sit there and making Russians cautious, and drawing resources from other parts of the front.

https://invidious.snopyta.org/watch?v=EROPAtm0WXc
https://youtube.com/watch?v=EROPAtm0WXc [Embed]