Bernd
11/19/2023 (Sun) 20:57
No.51277
del
So we are over halfway in the tournament, 8 days passed. Noone reached kachi koshi (a balance with at least 8 wins) yet, which means no unbeaten rikishi.
Ichiyamamoto leads the banzuke with 7-1. He is on the 14th place of the Maegeshira ranks, so he'll face harder and harder opponents proportionally, so more likely he'll get halted.
Two ozekis Kirishima and Hoshoryu is on 6-2, and the sekiwake Kotonowaka as well. They bound to achieve good score perhaps one of them will be the champion of the basho. Atamifuji has the same amount of points, and did very well on the last basho, perhaps he will also be in the lead again, having the chance to fight for the yusho again. Who knows. Maybe Nishikigi and Tamawashi can hope.
Ozeki Takakeisho, and sekiwake Daieisho have 5-3, just as Takayasu. I don't think they'll be in the lead. Can happen.
Thing is Takayasu already fought all the top wrestlers, all the ozekis and sekiwakes. There is still Abi and Hokutofuji, but I think he can manage. So in the next seven fights, he'll face relatively easy opponents. 10 points is reasonable goal.
Takakeisho and Daieisho still have to face the other ozekis.
And for tomorrow Kotonowaka got Hoshoryu, who potentially can halt the sekiwake.
I don't think Kirishima got easier opponent. He will face Asanoyama, who just beat Takakeisho today. However Asanoyama is recovering, and Takakeisho also isn't at 100% health. So Kirishima might have easier time.
It doesn't seem like any of the ozekis are ready to be yokozuna. I think Hoshoryu is the most skilled, and the youngest (only 24!). Takakeisho is a one trick pony, and Kirishima isn't good enough. He might be good enough to keep the ozeki title for some time. Hoshoryu can beat Kirishima fairly reliably, and probably Takakeisho too. But bagging two losses this early isn't a good sign.
I remember the rise of Terunofuji, like a meteor flying through, opposed by noone, but Hakuho. I did not witnessed Hakuho's career but only a couple of tournament where he absolutely dominated the dohyo. Now these are/were yokozunas. Perhaps I expect a lot. Reading about Hakuho, he was a very exceptional rikishi.
Anyway Hoshoryu has the potential, we'll see if he can use it.