>>55601 While this isn't the place for political discussion I have to note. Realism can give explanations of past events, and anchor us when we try to make sense of the world around, or even when we try to make decisions, reduce our ideological bias. But when it comes to predictions, it is really lousy. The reason of this inaccuracy: we are blinded by our biases, we have inherently distorted view of the world and we suck at making decisions.