Bernd
10/05/2026 (Mon) 21:12
No.55608
del
10/05/2026 (Mon) 21:12
No.55608
del
>>55607
BolsoJr. outperformed the polls, widened his power in Congress and can expect to absorb most of the 7+% of the vote given to minor center-right or right-wing candidates. I'd say he has at least 60% odds.
The lineup is an ironic reversal of 2018, when a jailed Lula had to run a placeholder candidate. Flávio would be a nobody if not for his surname.
Whoever wins gets an institutional crisis at the Supreme Court and a fiscal collapse on his lap. In theory this would make for a strong leftist comeback in 2030, but by then Lula will be 84 years old and he has no successor.
Flávio is implicated on this year's corruption scandal, but so are multiple Supreme Court justices. Lula has chained himself to his allies in the Court and this evens out vote losses, even though he's nowhere as directly involved as Flávio.
The scandal itself is hilarious, a rogue banker and serial womanizer bribing and partying his way into friendship with scores of men of power, then suddenly falling from grace. His digital communications, even with his lovers, have been made public.
His friends include the Prosecutor-General and multiple Supreme Court justices. Two of them, hardliner Alexandre de Moraes and Bolsonaro-picked André Mendonça, have accused each other of crimes. Procedural rules no longer exist, justices are now overruling each others' decisions and any political party can pick their favorite justice to decide anything they want by filing a motion in an unrelated case. Judges are then very creative in pretending the motion is connected to the case. The Supreme Court has also found creative excuses to usurp the jurisdiction of local courts.
BolsoJr. outperformed the polls, widened his power in Congress and can expect to absorb most of the 7+% of the vote given to minor center-right or right-wing candidates. I'd say he has at least 60% odds.
The lineup is an ironic reversal of 2018, when a jailed Lula had to run a placeholder candidate. Flávio would be a nobody if not for his surname.
Whoever wins gets an institutional crisis at the Supreme Court and a fiscal collapse on his lap. In theory this would make for a strong leftist comeback in 2030, but by then Lula will be 84 years old and he has no successor.
Flávio is implicated on this year's corruption scandal, but so are multiple Supreme Court justices. Lula has chained himself to his allies in the Court and this evens out vote losses, even though he's nowhere as directly involved as Flávio.
The scandal itself is hilarious, a rogue banker and serial womanizer bribing and partying his way into friendship with scores of men of power, then suddenly falling from grace. His digital communications, even with his lovers, have been made public.
His friends include the Prosecutor-General and multiple Supreme Court justices. Two of them, hardliner Alexandre de Moraes and Bolsonaro-picked André Mendonça, have accused each other of crimes. Procedural rules no longer exist, justices are now overruling each others' decisions and any political party can pick their favorite justice to decide anything they want by filing a motion in an unrelated case. Judges are then very creative in pretending the motion is connected to the case. The Supreme Court has also found creative excuses to usurp the jurisdiction of local courts.