/kc/ - Krautchan

Highest Serious Discussion Per Post on Endchan

Posting mode: Reply

Check to confirm you're not a robot
Drawing x size canvas

Board Rules

Max file size: 100.00 MB

Max files: 4

Max message length: 4096

Manage Board | Moderate Thread

Return | Magrathea | Catalog | Bottom

Expand All Images

(822.91 KB 1227x858 2024-02-22-syria.png)
(548.04 KB 1251x853 2024-02-22-israel.png)
(1.51 MB 1519x853 2024-02-22-ukraine.png)
Syria Thread - Iranian Backed Edition Bernd 02/22/2024 (Thu) 21:33 [Preview] No. 51681
Previous: >>50296

Nothing much going on in Syria anymore. Bit of ISIS I see on the map, and the SAA bombarding rebels on the north east. Beside that Israel is constantly attacking into Syria, targeting Iranian backed terrorists, and Iranian backed militias, and apparently Iranian militias themselves.
In Israel, the IDF still wrestling with some Iranian backed, dirty, barefeet, stone throwing kids since October... Where Yom Kippur and Six-Day Wars disappeared? Anyway. In Gaza they bombing Iranian backed Hamas, in Lebanon the Iranian backed Hezbollah. Sometimes they have a cease fire to release hostages as the Iranian backed Qatar negotiates it.
From Yemen, the Iranian backed Houthis raiding the shipping lanes with drones and whatnot.
In Ukraine the Iranian backed RAF/RuAf is on the attack. The initiative is theirs, AFU tries holding their trenches, forts, and foxholes. I heard couple of interesting things today, but would need some drawing and look up possible sources.

Bernd 02/22/2024 (Thu) 22:33 [Preview] No.51682 del
(470.66 KB 1919x969 group-of-forces.jpg)
(170.74 KB 948x864 report-2024-02-21.png)
(149.32 KB 928x863 report-2024-02-22.png)
So DPA dedicated a video for the Russian "Group of Forces", where they are situated on the front line. I drew a map for Bernd to illustrate the point.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=emgaW0gNwQw [Embed]

He gets this from the daily reports of the Russian Ministry of Defence (eng.mil.ru/en/special_operation/news.htm - why they need "eng" and /en/ there, it's a mystery). Made two screenshots, so Bernd don't have to go there.
But I think DPA gets something wrong. I think the Yug is also responsible the frontline south of Avdiivka (Avdeyevka now?) since they were the ones "liberating" Pobeda in today's report, which lays between Marinka and Novomikhailovka/ilivka I guess Újmihályi in Hungarian... as it should be.
I'm not sure where the exact borders are between each grouping so just guesstimated em.

Bernd 02/23/2024 (Fri) 22:16 [Preview] No.51683 del
(284.43 KB 744x501 division.png)
This >>51682 ofc means little without knowing the strenght, the actual forces behind them.
I mean sure the Tsentr has a way narrower line than the rest, but how concentrated the forces are? They said they directed like 50K troops there, but how many units were then subordinated to Yug after the town fell?
I went through the deepstate and militaryland maps and made a list of Russian units they placed onto the map. The picture is not much clearer.
Wikipee has an order of battle, but it's quite dated and this division of forces is a new thing, it was shaped the past week basically.
Couple of fun finds:
>The 80th separate intelligence battalion "Sparta" named Fried Cock
The storm zed units are all named 'shoigists "storm-z"', and then one of them is "strom-v". Whoa.
And ofc it's quite chaotic, because in case of regiment and battalion level units can't know where they belong to, perhaps the map shows a brigade, and then some battalions belong to that, but they didn't bothered (or they don't know) to mention it's part of that brigade.
There are cases when it can be guessed that some units belong together. For example on the militaryland map (picrel) around that HQ at Rostov (8th Combined Arms Army HQ):
- 163th Armored Regiment
- 102nd Motorized Regiment
- 103rd Motorized Regiment
- 381st Artillery Regiment
These are typical components of an old school Soviet armored division - at least they organized the same based on Soviet model on the Hungary in the 50's. Later ofc there were other variations, like with 3 infantry, 2 armored, and 2 artillery regiments.
Btw average German WWII armored division looks very much the same too.
So I assume there is a division HQ somewhere that hold together these.

Bernd 02/24/2024 (Sat) 19:11 [Preview] No.51687 del
(65.13 KB 657x704 ecfr-q01.png)
(67.43 KB 674x735 ecfr-q02.png)
(53.52 KB 657x706 ecfr-q03.png)
(65.82 KB 660x699 ecfr-q04.png)
The European Council of Foreign relations published an article couple of days ago, centered around a survey among 12 EU countries' citizens.
>Source: Survey conducted by YouGov and Datapraxis in January 2024
This matters much I think. Will be back to this.

Made 8 screenshots to fit into two posts, but there are 2-3 more questions.
#1 - Ofc Polan, Sweden, and Portugal are the highest to believe Ukraine can win. For Polan it's wishful thinking, because they hate Russia, and fear (for a reason) closeness. Swedes live in an alternative universe, and Portugal is so far they could be on another continent. Grease and Italy is a surprise for me. Especially Greece.
I have a problem with this tho. The definition of "win" for both Ukraine and Russia is undefined and it's hard to grasp. What would it mean?
#2 - This is more clear: should we push Ukraine to fight more, or push her to sit down and negotiate (potentially cut losses)? Kinda weird that while most people see there is no winning here, they want Ukraine to fight more. On the other hand, fighting more means preserving negotiating positions - for now, not for long as Ukraine will lose territory. I bet if they did the polling now, after Avdiivka fell, and maybe in March when the Ukrainan gains of last summer will be rolled back people would see it differently.
#3 - The farther away the less of the threat... I understand Poland. They want Ukraine win more so they can put Ukrainians back where they belong: to Ukraine. Sweden living in an alternative Universe again where Ukrainians are highly skilled, morally spotless, diligent, educated geniuses. Are they this optimists, humanists, or just horribly naive?
#4 - I don't get fellow Hungarians who would be pleased. Literally nothing changes for everyday life except more news how USA loves Orbán govt. And I also don't get the disappointment in any country, partially because USA aren't their country, so who cares who is the president have to deal with it and that's it. And partially because Trump wasn't even a horrible Prez.

Bernd 02/24/2024 (Sat) 19:39 [Preview] No.51688 del
(39.22 KB 666x403 ecfr-q05.png)
(76.72 KB 649x780 ecfr-q06.png)
(42.47 KB 692x395 ecfr-q07.png)
(53.56 KB 661x691 ecfr-q08.png)
#5 - Now this is the thing that noone can know. What would Trump do? What would be the effect?
#6 - Again, this was done in January. Much, much water will flow down the Danube till the EU election in June. Even now things are different. If people see that Ukraine can't hold, they'll think why increase support, why keep it up, why not tell 'em to negotiate?
#7 - I included this because it's hilarious. 65% says the political system is broken in their own countries. My top 3 suspects: Hungary, Greece, Polan and Italy on the 4th. Polan because they just changed government and things are shaky. There are other countries with pessimist realist people, basically all Easter EU ones and I'm guessing Spain.
#8 - Now here Hungary isn't the least pessimist, but most have a strong opinion, only 26% says don't know or don't care. Greece has abysmal opinion of EU, kek. I'm surprised France "scored low" but mostly because of the neutral people, they aren't sure. Does this indicated skepticism towards EU? This question could measure if people find EU competent enough, an they don't seem so. At least when it comes the this war. Perhaps in other topics they'd say EU is doing all right job.

My take is that "pro-war" Western leftlibs have to put great effort to keep people learning the coming bad news from the front. They'll try to do it, and they'll keep up generating fear from Russia, they'll keep inflating the danger Russia poses, while keep downplaying the strength of Russia in the war. Which is a curious contrast, but they are doing that. All pro-Ukrainians online (serious supporters and bloody mouth "fanboys" as well) doing this, and soldiers on the fronts too (I might write something about this later).
Ukrainians also build this "we failed, because we got deserted, betrayed" mindset, which was so characteristic to WWI veterans (and ofc the Hungarian mindset in relation to '56). "We could have fought on, but the supporting structure said no more."
I don't think the future will be comfortable, but at least will be interesting.

Bernd 02/24/2024 (Sat) 22:06 [Preview] No.51689 del
I really enjoyed this "Super Panel":
https://youtube.com/watch?v=8nhaYF3a86E [Embed]

Was given some food for thought, while was fun and entertaining. Almost make me wanna register and comment on youtube. Well, almost, not by a mile, but as close as I can get to that point.
Here I would just mention one thing, at about 1:19:20 they start to talk about an offensive against Belgorod, and then it gets rightly mentioned that the weapons come with a leash, that they can't use them in Russia, can't fire into Russia what the West considers Russia anyway, Russia considers all that they hold in Ukraine as Russia, especially Crimea, and Ukraine shoots into Crimea all the time....
It's like Vietnam. US army wasn't allowed to march into the North, and bring the war to them. One can't fight a war and win like this. It's a setup for failure.

Bernd 02/25/2024 (Sun) 01:07 [Preview] No.51690 del
I don't think that's much of an issue. I think invading Belgorod would cause far more harm than good to Ukraine, it would give Russia the pretext to use Conscripts in the war and it would be the conscripts defending Belgorod so it might not actually effect Russian forces in the Donbass all that much.
I think what they are doing now with their small raids is the best course of action as it's enough that Russia has to place units there to stop it but not enough that Russia can justify an escalation.

Bernd 02/25/2024 (Sun) 09:11 [Preview] No.51691 del
They cover this topic more than I wrote.
But if you think about it: AFU is destined to fail. If not the attrition grinding them down, time will, because US - even if Biden stays - will lose interest at one point. It will fail how South Vietnam failed. I could draw parallel with Korea, but Korea failed too, tho not as bad as Vietnam they had to retreat back, no unified Korea, and no peace ever since then, but the fat little rocketman.
With Belgorod they would gain would have gained - they have no strength for anything now, and won't be ever again, last summer was the peak a bargaining chip and a massive woodland to hold up Russians. The conscript part of the army reacts slow, and they are even less motivated than the current ones fighting in Ukraine.
Belgorod is would have been not a good move, but the rest is was, like their "counteroffensive" worse.

Bernd 02/25/2024 (Sun) 11:22 [Preview] No.51692 del
If the Ukraine manages to prolong the war long enough there is a chance that Russia will agree to relatively favourable terms for Ukraine, Ukraine will lose Donbass but will keep the rest and may be able to join NATO and the EU. The counter offensive would have contributed towards that end and might have given even more favourable terms, it would not have ended the war, Russia would take everything back they lost even if that took years but it contributes to the effort that Russia has to expend.
I believe that if the effort needed becomes too great, Russia will eventually settle for peace once it deems it has achieved enough to sell as a victory and to achieve at least some of it's goals(such as taking the Donbass).

But taking Belgorod would never have given Ukraine a bargaining chip, Russia could never sell any peace brought from that as a victory no matter how hard it tried. Not only that but Ukraine taking Russia land(actual Russian land) would have a huge effect on the population of Russia, after all, as it is the war is still an external one.

It would have huge geopolitical ramifications for Russia as well as internal ones and Russia may feel that the only way to save face would be to take Kiev and achieve total vicotory.

Bernd 02/25/2024 (Sun) 11:57 [Preview] No.51693 del
>prolong the war
I don't see how that is detrimental for Russia.
>But taking Belgorod would never have given Ukraine a bargaining chip...
I do agree taking Belgorod, or attacking that wouldn't have been a good move. I do think it would have been the least bad. But Belgorod is a sidetrack tho, and their (well, Wyatt's) idea in the first place.
My point is, can't beat an opponent if the war cannot be taken to him, and beat him on his land. With attrition the invasion can be stopped, but nothing will stop the opponent invading again at a later point. And attrition doesn't work if it attrites me more - and this is the case with Ukraine. They're losing material and personnel (especially experienced personnel) more quickly than they could replenish it. And now they lose land. And every loss they lose morale, they lose will to fight.

Bernd 02/25/2024 (Sun) 12:06 [Preview] No.51694 del
(171.29 KB 1224x1632 kiváló_dolgozó.jpg)
Also turns out we have a winner here: >>51559 HistoryLegends is indeed Canuck.
Turkbernd deserves an Krautchan Iron Account, and a medal.

Bernd 02/26/2024 (Mon) 19:45 [Preview] No.51696 del
First destroyed Abrams, at and by the Tsentr.
It seems they sent an Abrams in previously yesterday or the day before. It rolled in fired shots until depleted ammo, then rolled out. Perhaps they did the same today, but got caught.
Was surprising that no infantry, or visible air cover supported it.
It kinda reminds me of the situation of the Hungarian army at Iasi in WWII, when they got one (1) Tiger and with that they stopped a Soviet tank regiment allowing withdrawal of troops. In the end however they themselves had to abandon after blowing it up, for they run out of ammo and fuel.

Bernd 02/27/2024 (Tue) 18:42 [Preview] No.51698 del
(2.74 MB 3840x2160 001.jpeg)
French dude, Clément Molin works on mapping tranches, both Russian and Ukrainian, for 2 years now.
The Finnish map: https://www.scribblemaps.com/maps/view/The%20War%20in%20Ukraine/091194 still only shows the Russians.
Here's Clement's posts on twitter:
I only found an onion link for nitter instance that worked. The rest I found dead.
He also has a google map, he updates:
I wish he used something else than google.
Clément, thank you for your work.

One thing have to note. Mostly he can map only those trenches which can be seen from satellite imagery. So those in forests and towns and underground tunnels he can miss. He ofc notes, his map isn't exhaustive. I think themap is extremely blind in cases such as Bakhmut and Avdiivka. I heard several times now in relation to Avdiivka, that there were no defenses. I assume this why it could hold out for so long, right...?
From the images and his explanation these fortifications very much based on the same idea that was the foundation of the Árpád-line ( C3%81rp%C3%A1d_Line">https://en.wikipedia.org/wikiC3%81rp%C3%A1d_Line ). The defensive line consists of independent strongpoints, where circular defense is possible (towards every direction), and can offer fire support for each other.

I'll dump some of his stuff from twitter.

Bernd 02/27/2024 (Tue) 18:48 [Preview] No.51699 del
Here's the map, only shows the blue "circles", no highlights, plus couple of examples.

Bernd 02/27/2024 (Tue) 18:50 [Preview] No.51700 del
(676.98 KB 1920x1080 007a-mariupol.jpeg)
(823.93 KB 1920x1080 007b-popasna.jpeg)
Here are the original Ukrainian lines just before the invasion. From Mariupok, to the Donets river.

Bernd 02/27/2024 (Tue) 19:09 [Preview] No.51701 del
Now the individual parts of the defense lines.
In the north-east Bakhmut-Siversk.
Behind those from Chasiv Yar to the Donets and bending towards the east, to Siversk. This one is interesting for the southern end, just south of Chasiv Yar was broken through during the battle of Bakhmut. Ofc they must be working on repairs and more forts, trenches, foxholes.
The Slovianks, Kramatorsk, and Konstantinivka rounds, behind CY-S, and B-S lines.
Avdiivka. Now there are couple of fortified positions, the first continuous chain of strongpoints are further back in the west, by about 17 kms.

Bernd 02/27/2024 (Tue) 19:17 [Preview] No.51702 del
(2.43 MB 3840x2160 012-south-donbass.jpeg)
(665.85 KB 1920x1080 013-mikolaev.jpeg)
(2.19 MB 3840x2160 014-zaporozhia.jpeg)
(2.75 MB 3840x2160 015-kharkov-lugansk.jpeg)
The juicy target: Pokrovsk. Hugged around just as Tokmak. And has similar role, it's an important node of supply.
Then the rest. Mikolaev, Zaporozhia, and east of Kharkov.

That's about it.

Bernd 02/27/2024 (Tue) 19:20 [Preview] No.51704 del
Yeah. Oh well. Just search Árpád Line / Árpád-vonal.

Bernd 02/28/2024 (Wed) 08:07 [Preview] No.51708 del
Topic related I guess, self-immolation airman guy. >>>/news/22165 has a thread about him.
In short a serviceman of the USAF decided to set himself on fire in front of the Israeli Embassy in Washington DC, as a protest against Israeli actions. I'm not sure if only in this ongoing conflict, or in general the treatment of Palestinians. He died in the hospital.
He seems to be a regular IT guy with family. I don't get why he would do such a thing. I'm also curious who gets moved and motivated by him - like in the sense who is the target audience.

Bernd 02/29/2024 (Thu) 10:21 [Preview] No.51709 del
I think the litmus test on how the Russian campaign is going and how the Ukrainians are actually holding up will be the battle at Krasnahorivka, SE from Avdiivka, west from the city of Donetsk.
The front here stands still for long, basically form 2014 it seems, and the place is fortified strong. It's larger than all these villages the fights are going over. The line is solid, the routing, withdrawing brigades are relatively far to the north, so no immediate danger for the flanks to be exposed.
Now the Russian army moved onto the town, brought the fights into the southernmost streets. There was at least in incursion, which the Ukrainians beaten back.
How long will it take for the Russians to take the place - if they will be able at all. If they roll through in 2 weeks... that would be impressive.

At the situation at Robotyne. It sounds like another "meatgrinder" where units can be thrown into by both sides, and probably both sides thinks that they trap the other there. Like at Bakhmut. I don't really expect much territorial gains for now there, but I think the situation favors Russia. Every unit stuffed into that cauldron by Ukraine, one less unit to worry about elsewhere.

Bernd 02/29/2024 (Thu) 20:22 [Preview] No.51711 del
So the brand new circus is going on for a few days now. Macron said:
>there is no consensus to officially back any ground troops. That said, nothing should be excluded. We will do everything that we can to make sure that Russia does not prevail.
Which reminds me of an idea not mine which I mention occasionally in these threads, that at one point NATO will move into Ukraine and create a security zone.
Now this statement of his, rather suggest to move in to fight Russians along Ukraine instead of creating a barrier, but occupying creating a security zone as much land would be denying Russia to:
1. annex whole Ukraine;
2. create a "neutral" Ukraine (like Belarus);
3. create disarmed Ukraine.
Since they could preserve a piece of Ukraine that wouldn't be part of Russia, wouldn't be subordinated to Russia but to NATO/EU, and NATO/EU could deploy any number and type of weapon systems. It wouldn't be a victory for Ukraine, but Russia wouldn't prevail.
And the other thing his statement and the following denial of fellow Euro politicians remind me:
>send weapons to ukraine
<noooo we wont send weapons
>send them anyway
>send artillery to ukraine
<ooooo we wont send artillery
>send them anyway
>send tanks to ukraine
<noooo we wont send tanks
>send them anyway
>send long range rockets to ukraine
<noooo we wont send rockets
>send them anyway
>send fighter jets to ukraine
<noooo we wont send fighter jets
>send them anyway
>send troops to ukraine
<noooo we wont send troops


Bernd 03/01/2024 (Fri) 21:46 [Preview] No.51722 del
(2.08 MB 1919x911 pokrovsk-light.jpg)
Edited part of the map of this dude: >>51698 so the strongholds can be seen better. Clément drew the fortifications in blue, and used blue to shade Ukraine held territory. So it's a bit hard to see.
It's the Avdiivka front (Tsentr Group) towards Pokrovsk. There is one chain of trenches from Stara Mykolaivka in the north through Ocheretyne and Komyshivka to Vovchenka in the south where the line can settle. They might just push in the center to about Novoselivka Persha which Russians could take. And they gonna have a bulge there.
I think a lot will depend on Krasnohorivka.

Bernd 03/03/2024 (Sun) 09:28 [Preview] No.51723 del
Youtube drama.
HistoryLegends published a video which refutes that human wave tactics is used by Russians (by anyone, both sides really). And he is right "human wave" as history or military history knows it... it does not used. And he points out when it was used, it was for propagandistic purposes in order to denigrate an opponent.
Two pro-Ukrainian channels replied, both trying to counter the arguments. One is Ryan McBeth who moved the goalpost to "meat wave", the other is Military & History who swapped both words: human -> meat and wave -> attack. And basically both says that it's used in propaganda fashion... The latter also says that noone say "human wave" ever.
Weeb Union, and and Defense Politics Asia did videos on this too, the latter reacted to the reactions. Matters little.
Yesterday I actually searched on an invidious instance, so on youtube (I wonder how results would change if I searched on pure youtube) "russian human waves" and got quite a few hits. This morning I thought I make couple of screenshots. With red I highlighted the hits with the searched expression, and with orange the related.
#1 "russian human waves" - probably Times Radio has the greatest reach in these popularizing the idea; I skipped that video game thing there; most hits are from over a year ago; related terms: meat wave and zombies, or just simply waves
#2 and #3 "human wave ukraine" - way more hits; ofc about the Russians; funny thing: most videos are done by "CNN-News18" which is an Indian news channel, imagine; one notable hit that overshadows Times Radio: Sky News with 1.7 million views: Analysis: Russia using 'human wave' troops in Donbas; and a curious find on the second page by Telegraph - with only 67K views, not many Bri'ish conservatives, eh?
#4 "russian meat wave" - quite a lot, to be honest most videos are done by Denys Davydov is he on the pajeet CNN_News18 level??? and he has lots of views ofc, related terms are human wave, zombies, meatgrinder

The Sky News find compelled me to search couple of large media channels: CNN, Reuters, BBC, Guardian News, couldn't come up with anything.

Bernd 03/03/2024 (Sun) 11:03 [Preview] No.51725 del
It's a stupid term to begin with and one used by people that don't seem to know a whole lot about military tactics or organization.

Bernd 03/06/2024 (Wed) 20:19 [Preview] No.51731 del
I like how Matt of WillyOAM pronounces Sergey as Sir Jay. I think excellent channel as far as these war coverage videos go. No sarcasm.

Bernd 03/06/2024 (Wed) 21:02 [Preview] No.51732 del
(665.84 KB 1126x845 considerthefollowing2.png)
Russia/Soviet Union never attacked "Europe", but "Europe" attacked Russia/Soviet Union twice already.

Bernd 03/07/2024 (Thu) 01:00 [Preview] No.51733 del
The USSR invaded Finland and also attacked Europe in 1920(the Polish-Soviet war), they invaded Poland again in 1939 but that was a bit different.
The Russian empire historically has invaded Europe on numerous occasions as well.

Bernd 03/07/2024 (Thu) 09:04 [Preview] No.51734 del
Yes, they invaded Finland, the Baltics, Poland, and Romania. They never attacked "Europe" as a whole.
While Napoleon "unified" Europe and attacked Russia. It was Europe's attack.
And Hitler "unified" Europe and attacked the SU. It was Europe's attack.
Now Macron and the like are talking about how Russia wants to attack Europe, so they have to attack Russia.
In fact this time they (we) have a duo of Franco-Germany which "unifies" Europe and wants to attack Russia.

Bernd 03/07/2024 (Thu) 09:13 [Preview] No.51735 del
Probably even the Intervention counts as "Europe" attacking Russia.
And in the Polish-Soviet war was initiated by the Poles in the first place.

Bernd 03/11/2024 (Mon) 21:08 [Preview] No.51766 del
(63.95 KB 700x331 shorad.png)
I was searching for Ukrainian equipment used in the war. I deviated from the actual mark here and there, skimming various somewhat related articles and looking up stuff from there.
What an interesting find. Does she scream down airplanes from the sky?

Bernd 03/12/2024 (Tue) 14:39 [Preview] No.51767 del
The Russian Liberation Army or how it is called, one of the Ukrainian Russian unit is attacking into Belgorod Oblast. Fun.

Bernd 03/13/2024 (Wed) 21:23 [Preview] No.51782 del
I doubt much will come out of this. I highly suspect this is for spicing up the Russian elections that takes place on March 15-17.

Bernd 03/18/2024 (Mon) 09:03 [Preview] No.51797 del
(54.59 KB 1080x600 smug-putin.jpg)
(55.57 KB 1005x569 tucker-look.jpg)
The "news" of the day: Putin won Russian presidential election, by 87%, at 74% turnout.


Bernd 03/18/2024 (Mon) 20:47 [Preview] No.51799 del
Total Democracy Win
No opposition was harmed during this election

Bernd 03/18/2024 (Mon) 20:49 [Preview] No.51800 del
(333.48 KB 2560x1707 bradley.jpg)
Up to this date I've seen (kinda, partially on youtube) two videos when a Bradley faces a tank, while coordinating with either artillery battery and/or a drone team. Both were Bradleys of the 47th Brigade.
Actually the first video was about a month ago, and featured two Bradleys. Well they weren't featured just their tracer munition, it focuses on the T-90.
I assume this is a way to keep Ukrainian tanks out of harm. Concentrated fire of Bradleys could be enough, and if they can add some bombardment while the tank is distracted, they surely don't need the gun of a tank.

Bernd 03/18/2024 (Mon) 21:16 [Preview] No.51801 del
Inspirational for all the third world's budding democracies.

Bernd 03/21/2024 (Thu) 14:41 [Preview] No.51804 del
Potentially good source of tidbits is the Janes' website. Just type "Ukraine" in the search field and order it by Date, like this:
These articles are short reports but they offer interesting finds. For example the latest:
The following data can be extracted directly:
- Netherlands sends F-16s
- €150 million worth of ammo for the jets
- this purchase will be done directly from the industry - not via Ukraine first
- €200 million for ISR drone purchase - together with partner countries (so it seems this 200 Milka won't be spent by Netherlands alone)
- 18 F-16s go to Romania to used in training
- 24 F-16s go directly to Ukraine
- there is a pilot and maintenance crew training center in Romania for Ukrainian airmen
- there is a so called F-16 coalition: Belgium, Denmark, Luxemburg, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Sweden, UK, US.
I wonder what an exbert could conclude, what derivative information could he mine out of this. Such as one might know the types of ISR drones, and their price and could guesstimate how this 200 Milka will be spent. Eg. Bayraktar TB2 costs about 5 mil, so they can buy 40 pieces of it. Or such expert might now that what "the industry" expression means, what companies and factories, are they in Europe, in the US, who are their owners, who gets this infusion of funds, etc.

Bernd 03/22/2024 (Fri) 23:46 [Preview] No.51806 del
Something brewin' in Russia, waiting for updates

Bernd 03/23/2024 (Sat) 06:17 [Preview] No.51807 del
It's called kvas.

Bernd 03/23/2024 (Sat) 16:28 [Preview] No.51809 del
As a note. Crocus City Hall shooting in Moscow. Claimed to be ISIS, Kremlin says 11 arrested, 4 directly involved in the attack, tried to fled to Ukraine.

In criticism of the Putin-regime we will probably see claims that the security forces of Russia are both incompetent to allow and mastermind to orchestrate the attack at the same time. So who knows.

Bernd 03/23/2024 (Sat) 18:57 [Preview] No.51810 del
I think that this "they were heading for Ukraine" story is silly. How would they cross the border which is most likely more watched than pornhub, especially after the Ukrainian action against Belgorod.

Bernd 03/24/2024 (Sun) 08:13 [Preview] No.51811 del
Death toll at the moment: 143.
Apparently 6000 people attended the place.

Bernd 03/26/2024 (Tue) 12:31 [Preview] No.51819 del
Apparently during Russian election time, people - mostly babushkas - were called on phone and conned into setting the voting booths and ballots and whatnot on fire with various liquids, molotov cocktails.
The Crocus attackers used similar method to burn the building.
Was election a foreshadow of the event?

Bernd 03/26/2024 (Tue) 19:38 [Preview] No.51820 del
Luka claimed they were actually heading for Belarus but wouldn't be able to enter.

Bernd 03/27/2024 (Wed) 07:36 [Preview] No.51821 del
Their escape plan is quite mysterious. Well, their escape plan too. I doubt we'll ever know anything sure. Suspicions and accusations all what we are having.

Bernd 03/30/2024 (Sat) 07:53 [Preview] No.51835 del
Apparently Defense Politics Asia has an archive channel where he uploads war footage. Smart. I hear from tubers they get flagged if too much war footage is in their videos, gore and such. So having a channel that doesn't matter if it gets flagged sounds like a good idea.
This channel seems to be 1 month old.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=uP43kj4K_W4 [Embed]

Bernd 03/30/2024 (Sat) 19:41 [Preview] No.51838 del
Invidious is getting fugged by youtube again, can't retrieve videos. So today I'm missing my daily dose of sitreps. Well almost. DPA at last has his channel on Odysee too.

Bernd 04/01/2024 (Mon) 16:16 [Preview] No.51847 del
Article about Nepalese, Sri Lankan, and Indian dudes fighting in the Russian army (Ukrainian volunteers also mentioned).
It seems sometimes they don't treated the the most honorably, like they don't get the wage they promised, or sent to the front instead of doing supporting jobs in the hinterland, or getting only couple days of training, etc. Individual cases are mentioned not wholesale treatment.

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 15:17 [Preview] No.51861 del
NATO held a jamboree in Brussels for its 75 bday, almost as old as venerable Sleepy Joe.
It was created in 1949. By the US from the countries who:
- were formerly allied to her in WWII, indebted to her and equipped by her: Canada, France, UK;
- were occupied by her, indebted to her: Iceland;
- were "liberated" by her, then occupied by her, indebted to her, and equipped by her: Belgium, Denmark, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway
- were defeated by her, occupied by her, indebted to her, equipped by her: Italy
- were Portugal - this angle would need a bit of research, but they did some favors towards the Allies in WWII, then the country did some "democratization", I assume a capital injection from the US helped out.
Anyway back to the jamboree. Main participants were the foreign minsters of the now 32 member states and the main topic was ofc Ukraine, but they talked about Africa, Middle East and the Indo-Pacific region too.
Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg opened with a:
>NATO is bigger, stronger, and more united than ever
He also babbled about the usual stuff, more support to Ukraine and make Ukraine NATO member. From what I gathered the discussion of the foreign ministers were also empty phrases and gestures, and were basically there to each confirm they'll start some cooperation. Our foreign minister stated later in Hungarian media that they are crossing the two red lines set in 2022:
1. NATO isn't part of Ukraine's war
2. have to do everything to avoid direct confrontation with Russia
He also said that they made a decision that a planning and the creation of a proposition of the next plan needs to be started. So they are basically at step -1.
Beyond this he claimed that they "want to raise NATO's coordination role in training and weapon shipments". They'd create a logistical base in Poland, and the NATO personally would arrange the shipments to that base. From the base it wouldn't be NATO's job to move stuff into Ukraine. They'd train Ukrainian solders in NATO countries (they already do this, wtf). Thirdly they want decide how to do that 5 year plan with that $100 billion that is in the pipes.
Dmytro Kuleba, the Ukrainian foreign minister was there too. He also said the usual: send help. He also said it would be nice if they really do it, and in larger volume.
Perhaps this year most countries will met their 2% of budget military spending.

Surprisingly the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news.htm) measures information quite thinly.
This one is cute:
>Group of Experts
They are apparently "independent" and were eleven, did their research since October, contracted by Stoltenberg. But who are these and where can we read the report? On same page they link this:
But no substantial information.
They have a library tho: https://www.natolibguides.info/natolibrary
This article is fun too:
>thank you for holding us on leash with firm hands

Btw Stoltenberg will be gone this year, so new General Secretary has to be elected.

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 18:57 [Preview] No.51862 del
Time for some map posting. Did it some time ago >>51667 >>51672
How the front moved since then? Gonna use DeepState which was taken over by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense - so I heard. They might not note some changes already happened, but still seems to be accurate - as accurate these things can be.
Gonna use 2024 February 17th as a starting date, so each slice of frontline will have one screenshot from then, and now.

Ukraine halted the efforts. Or perhaps the Russians want them reinforcing this area constantly so they can wear them down. Or not.

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 19:01 [Preview] No.51863 del
Velyke Novosylka and Vuhledar
Bits of lands are taken from both sides, but Russian advances here are surprising a bit.
I think generally Russians are keeping pressure on the whole line of the front, and sometimes they take some land at secondary, tertiary, etc. places.

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 19:06 [Preview] No.51864 del
Marinka and Novomikhailivka and Krasnohorivka
Quite a bit of change.

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 19:12 [Preview] No.51865 del
By area they took another chunk like Avdiivka. It is fields and villages, but they move closer to Pokrovsk with each meter.
Perhaps they could launch a winter campaign against that hub?

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 19:17 [Preview] No.51866 del
Russians are moving towards Chasiv Yar. I think they'd do better in another direction - gonna note it in next post - but this ChY thing is apparently happening. Or perhaps they'll stop at the canal.

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 19:24 [Preview] No.51867 del
Not much change - just in case of Velyke Novosilka and Vugledar - but we know they are fighting constantly.
So I think instead of Chasiv Yar, it would be better to move towards Rai-Oleksandrivka. That would cut an important road to Siversk.
However the Chasiv Yar offensive might be defensive. ChY is close enough to Bakhmut for a contentration of force to threaten that hub (Bakhmut).

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 19:28 [Preview] No.51868 del
Movements back and forward. Nothing consequential. Except for those who die and get maimed ofc.

Bernd 04/06/2024 (Sat) 19:31 [Preview] No.51869 del
Last one. Again just a bit of back and forth. It seems Russians gave up at Sinkivka.

Bernd 04/07/2024 (Sun) 17:15 [Preview] No.51871 del
Why Are NATO Tanks Equipped With The Wrong Tracks?
Why Is NATO Using Rubber Padded Tracks For Heavy Offroad Terrain?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=rnvu5cgBZ2o [Embed]
He doesn't know, he wants to know the answer. I'm posting because it is interesting to note that they use the rubber padded tracks for asphalt.

Bernd 04/14/2024 (Sun) 06:01 [Preview] No.51888 del
Reading an article in Hungarian media right now.
Apparently Iran launched drones/rockets towards Israel.
Nothing sure in this particular article, don't know if drones, rockets, ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, whatever they have. They say "they could launch as much as 4-500 pieces", but don't know how many they launched. They say the flight will took hours.
Tho the article ends that Iran said they launched over 300 rockets, and they link another article of theirs.
Eh, a video of weeb union was uploaded 9 hours ago reporting the event, so this happened about midnight in Iran.

I might follow up this. I know previously a "provocation" happened on behalf of Israel, and Iran had to make a response, but at the moment can't recall the event. I'll look it up.

Bernd 04/14/2024 (Sun) 06:05 [Preview] No.51889 del
Ah yeah.
Israel bombed the Iranian embassy in Damascus, Syria on April 2nd, killing General Mohammed Reza Zahedi the commander of the Quds Force and others.

Bernd 04/14/2024 (Sun) 06:08 [Preview] No.51890 del
After seeing what happened to Gaza, every shitskin on the planet will write a will and testament before touching a white woman

Bernd 04/14/2024 (Sun) 06:28 [Preview] No.51891 del

Bernd 04/14/2024 (Sun) 06:39 [Preview] No.51892 del
So the target was Nevatim Airbase south of the West Bank.
Over 300 missiles (cruise and ballistic) and drones were launched simultaneously.
"99%" of these were intercepted by Israel and her "allies" (from elsewhere: US and UK).
7 projectiles reached the airbase and hit.
US said doesn't want a war with Iran.

Top | Catalog | Post a reply | Magrathea | Return